Origins of Great Power Rivalries

1. Introduction; 2. The strategic problem at the origins of great power rivalries; 3. My innovation: enriching how we understand state-motives; 4. How principled motives and qualitative signals resolve the strategic tension at the origins of great power rivalries; 5. Inside the analyst's mind: experimental war game simulation with US national security elites; 6. Anglo-Russian relations and the origins of cold war; 7. Explaining the origins of great power rivalries since 1850: a medium-n analysis; 8. Evaluating the US' China policy and intelligence (1990-2020); 9. Conclusion.

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