Leading Economic Indicators and Business Cycles in the United States

Leading Economic Indicators and Business Cycles in the United States

100 Years of Empirical Evidence and the Opportunities for the Future

Guerard, John B.

Springer Nature Switzerland AG

07/2022

650

Dura

Inglês

9783030994174

15 a 20 dias

1172

Descrição não disponível.
Chapter 1. Economic Growth and Business Cycles in the United States.- Chapter 2. Mr. Wesley Clair Mitchell: The Advent of U.S. and NBER Business Cycle Research.- Chapter 3. Measuring Business Activity, An Introductions to the Contributions of Mr. Persons, Mr. Schumpeter, Mr. Haberler, and Mr. Eckstein.- Chapter 4. Mr. Burns and Mr. Mitchell on Measuring Business Cycles.- Chapter 5. Mr. Geoffrey Moore and NBER Business Cycle Research.- Chapter 6. Mr. Victor Zarnowitz and Economic Forecasting, and NBER Business Cycle Research.- Chapter 7. Regression and Time Series Modeling of Real GDP, the Unemployment Rate, and the Impact of Leading Economic Indicators on Forecasting Accuracy.- Chapter 8. Granger-Causality Testing and LEI Forecasting of Quarterly Mergers and the Unemployment Rate.- Chapter 9. Active Management in Portfolio Selection and Management within Business Cycles and Present-Day COVID.- Chapter 10. Testing and Forecasting the Unemployment Rate with the Most Current Data, TCB LEI, data as of 11/05/2021.- Chapter 11. Conclusions and Summary.
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Business Cycles;Leading Economic Indicators;Economic Growth;Time Series Modeling;Financial Forecasting