Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty
portes grátis
Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty
Raydugin, Yuri G.
Springer International Publishing AG
06/2024
382
Dura
9783031569876
15 a 20 dias
Descrição não disponível.
Introduction.- PRM and types of project uncertainties.- Overview of DMDU methodologies.- Project complexity concept.- Decision-making framework.- Selection of project options in situations of deep uncertainty.- Development of project schedule and cost contingencies in complex projects.- Cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility risk assessment methods.- High-level overview of simplistic Monte Carlo and parametric risk assessment methods.- Case study 1: applications of a tradition PRM (scoring method).- Case study 2: applications of "linear Monte Carlo" methodology.- Case study 3: applications of "non-linear Monte Carlo" methodology.- Case study 4: selection of project options (a few "futures").- Case study 5: selection of project options (multiple "futures").- Case study 6: applications of cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility modelling methods.- Conclusion.
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Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty;Project Risk Management;Monte Carlo method;Robust Decision Making;Dynamic Adaptive Planning
Introduction.- PRM and types of project uncertainties.- Overview of DMDU methodologies.- Project complexity concept.- Decision-making framework.- Selection of project options in situations of deep uncertainty.- Development of project schedule and cost contingencies in complex projects.- Cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility risk assessment methods.- High-level overview of simplistic Monte Carlo and parametric risk assessment methods.- Case study 1: applications of a tradition PRM (scoring method).- Case study 2: applications of "linear Monte Carlo" methodology.- Case study 3: applications of "non-linear Monte Carlo" methodology.- Case study 4: selection of project options (a few "futures").- Case study 5: selection of project options (multiple "futures").- Case study 6: applications of cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility modelling methods.- Conclusion.
Este título pertence ao(s) assunto(s) indicados(s). Para ver outros títulos clique no assunto desejado.
