Physical Earthquake Forecasting and Prediction

PART 1: Statistical testing of the physical earthquake predictions 1. Intrinsic predictability of earthquakes 2. Log-likelihood and PI-tests 3. The reference model - seismic potential 4. Molchan tests 5. Dynamic potential and statistical forecasting PART 2: Tectonic stress 6. Time-dependent tectonic stress and strain fields 7. Analysis of the global vertical deformation 8. Analysis of the global shear stress 9. Precursory stress changes and statistical tests PART 3: Time-synchronizations 10. Time-synchronizations and the local interaction potential 11. Global ensemble analysis of the Time-synchronizations 12. Forecasting the magnitudes of earthquakes 13. Critical regions 14. Statistical tests PART 4: Tectonic couple-stress 15. Systems of tectonic waves 16. Shear tractions 17. Dual tectonic waves 18. Ensemble models of shear tractions and statistical tests 19. Dynamic shear traction and statistical tests 20. Global interaction potential and earthquake triggering PART 5: Alert system and operational earthquake forecasting and prediction 21. Hybrid probability models 22. Comparison between Omega, ETAS and smoothed seismicity models 23. Alert system 24. Long-range forecasting 25. Operational centers and FIS

Este título pertence ao(s) assunto(s) indicados(s). Para ver outros títulos clique no assunto desejado.

• Geofísica
• Vulcanologia e Sismologia

Earthquake prediction; Earthquake forecasting; Earthquakes; Omega-Theory; Cosserat continuum; Tectonic stress; Plate tectonics theory; Chaotic synchronizations